01 / 03
Business
Organisations, processes, decisions, incentives and operating models.
Business =relationships
- Nodes pulse
- Signals travel
- Ripples propagate
Systems / Information / Intelligence
I like understanding complicated things.
I connect business goals, products, information, technology and operations to understand why systems behave as they do, and how to make them work better.
01BusinessRelationships
02TechnologyStructure
03IntelligenceAdaptation
How I look at a problem
- 01Observe
What happened?
- 02Decompose
What are the parts?
- 03Connect
How do they interact?
- 04Model
What behaviour emerges?
- 05Intervene
Where can the system change?
First principles
Start with what is actually happening.
The page is meant to be easy to read. The thinking underneath it is meant to hold up.
What’s really going on underneath this?
Look past the symptom. Find the structure producing it.
Observe→Model→Intervene
Seven diagnostic lenses
- 01Surface
The visible symptom, request or metric that moved.
- 02Structure
The parts, boundaries, rules and constraints.
- 03Relationships
Dependencies, incentives and feedback paths.
- 04Information
Signals, meaning, timing, quality and who acts on them.
- 05Dynamics
How the system changes and responds over time.
- 06Emergence
Behaviour produced by interactions, not by one part.
- 07Intervention
A deliberate change at a leverage point, then observation.
Observation→Question→Hypothesis→Model→Evidence→Intervention→Feedback→Revised model
Three tools, three jobs: the sequence above is how I start, the seven lenses are what I examine, and the loop is how I test the model after acting. See it applied in Repayment cycle rebalancing.
Three states of one system
Business, technology and intelligence are the same system, seen from three sides.
02 / 03
Technology
Digital products, information flows, architecture and systems.
Technology =structure
- Layers separate
- Layers recombine
- Information moves through
03 / 03
Intelligence
Systems that perceive, represent, reason, decide, act and adapt.
Intelligence =adaptation
- Orbits shift speed
- The core changes
- Signals pulse
Different surfaces. One underlying system.
Work
Work is where the ideas become real.
Systems problems and the interventions that changed them.
SELECTED CASES / 2024—26Ideas
Questions worth staying with.
Entropy
Market-state interpretation built on persistence, liquidity, volume distribution and volatility.
Personal intelligence architecture
An orchestrator, a knowledge layer and workflows, with a human in charge of consequential decisions.